The All-Russian Public Opinion Research Center regularly asks respondents this question. The answer for a month with a little before the elections is unequivocal. The separation of the first place from the second is still tenfold.

Vladimir Putin would be supported by 71.5% of voters, Pavel Grudinin from the Communist Party of the Russian Federation could count on a little more than 7%, 5.5% of percent would vote for Vladimir Zhirinovsky from the Liberal Democratic Party, in front of the name of Ksenia Sobchak from the "Civil Initiative" would put a tick 1 %, 0.8% would vote for Grigory Yavlinsky from Yabloko, 0.5% would receive Sergei Baburin from the Russian National Union, 0.2% of respondents would like Boris Titov to head the state from the Party of Growth ”, 0.1% of voters are ready to vote for Maxim Suraykin from the Communists of Russia.

According to the head of VTsIOM Valery Fedorov, based on today's figures and the dynamics of their change, there is no doubt about the result of the presidential elections in March.

“The candidate is the leader, the only contender for victory, of course, is Vladimir Putin. We see that his fame is absolute, 99.6% of respondents know who he is. His leadership has not yet been subjected to any serious strength test by other candidates,” said Valery Fedorov, director general of the All-Russian Public Opinion Research Center.

But the fight for second place will be serious, Fedorov believes. The old-timer Zhirinovsky is against the newcomer Grudinin, whom journalists continue to attack with questions about foreign accounts.

“He has phenomenally quickly and skyrocketed fame. 70% of Russian voters know or have heard something about the newcomer of these elections, the candidate from the Communist Party. Against the background of such a rise in such a rapid rise in prominence, the candidate's rating is in a state of stagnation. The rating of Pavel Grudinin does not reach the rating of the Communist Party of the Russian Federation. Let me remind you that the candidate has 7.3%, the party has 9.6% of voters. It turns out that Grudinin today received the support of only half of the supporters of the party that nominated him, ”said the general director of VTsIOM.

Political scientists believe that this could lead to a split in the left flank of political forces.

“The structure of Grudinin's rating shows that the communists do not vote for him en masse. 47% of his voters just belong to this party. Who is everyone else? This is the most interesting question. This is the electorate that Sobchak and Yavlinsky missed. That is, it turns out the right segment first of all. It is clear that it will not be possible to sit on two chairs. If he is going to go for 10%, he will need to decide on his election campaign: either he is still left, and then he will try to influence those 53% that do not vote for him, or he will go to the right, but then he risks lose the "nuclear electorate", - analyzes the president of the Center for Strategic Communications Dmitry Abzalov.

“They are not only losing their core left-wing electorate, but they are not gaining anything in the center. It seems to me that the results of the upcoming March 18 elections of the Communist Party of the Russian Federation in the form in which we know it, in which it is today, may not survive. Because the conflict is internal to the party, especially in the regions, it is getting deeper and deeper. They do not understand who this candidate is, who claims that he is a member of the Komsomol and sings the Internationale, and on the other hand, closes some accounts in Switzerland, ”says Alexei Martynov, director of the International Institute of Recent States.

Perhaps this will give an additional impetus to the campaign of Zhirinovsky, who is currently in third place in the VTsIOM poll. Moreover, the head of the Liberal Democratic Party, as Fedorov noted, has a relatively low anti-rating compared to the previous elections.

As for the voters, 80% of respondents intend to come to the polling stations and vote, while the awareness of Russians about the upcoming elections has approached its record high of 93%.

Before the final point of voting - just a couple of minutes. Sites throughout Russia have already completed work. But the country is big, and there is still Kaliningrad. The account is actually in seconds. However, even after that, our citizens in Europe and America will still vote.

But according to the law, 21 o'clock is already considered the boundary after which one can say: the elections have taken place and it is time to sum up the results. It is from nine in the evening that it is allowed to report the results of polls conducted at the exits from the polling stations, the so-called exit polls.

The President was elected today in 11 time zones, in which approximately 107 million voters live. 97 thousand sites worked. For the first time, it was possible to vote, even while away, without any absentee ballots. It was enough to apply in advance at the MFC or on the website of public services. Those who voted at the place of residence - almost six million.

Voting has become easier and more convenient, while ensuring that elections are fair and transparent is on a completely new level. The number of automatic complexes for processing ballots has been doubled. The vast majority of polling stations and all territorial election commissions are equipped with cameras.

There are QR codes on the final protocols, this allows you to speed up data entry and exclude the possibility of forgery. It is to the content of these protocols that all attention will be riveted in the next 24 hours. Counting in some regions is already underway. In others, it is just beginning. Literally a minute ago, polling stations in the Kaliningrad region were closed. Voting in Russia is over.

So: the first data of exit polls are polls that sociologists conducted at the exit from polling stations. The results, as expected at 21:00, are published by the All-Russian Center for the Study of Public Opinion.

VTsIOM polled 161,000 people in 81 regions of Russia. So, according to the VTsIOM poll, Vladimir Putin is in the lead with a result of almost 74%. In second place is Pavel Grudinin, with just over 11%. Next in the top three is Vladimir Zhirinovsky, almost 7%. Ksenia Sobchak is in fourth place, she has 2.5%. Grigory Yavlinsky has a little more than 1.5%. Boris Titov, Sergei Baburin and Maxim Suraikin, according to exit polls, are gaining about 1%.

And another study throughout the country was conducted by the Public Opinion Foundation. His data are as follows: for Vladimir Putin - 77% of respondents. Pavel Grudinin has about 12%, Vladimir Zhirinovsky has about 6%. According to exit polls, about 2% voted for Ksenia Sobchak. The results of Grigory Yavlinsky, Boris Titov, Sergei Baburin and Maxim Suraikin are within 1%. The results are based on a survey of 112,700 people conducted in 83 regions of Russia.

The leader of the electoral race is the incumbent President Vladimir Putin. According to the CEC, at the moment, 71.9% of voters voted for him.

ON THIS TOPIC

In second place is the Communist Party candidate Pavel Grudinin with 15.9% of the vote. The leader of the Liberal Democratic Party Vladimir Zhirinovsky closes the top three with 6.9%.

On March 18, Russia held its seventh presidential election. The head of state is elected for six years. As of January 1, 2018, the Central Election Commission registered 110 million 858 thousand 228 voters, which is one million more than in the 2012 elections. Polling stations in all regions were open from 8:00 to 20:00 local time.

Eight candidates are running for the presidency. These are Sergey Baburin (Party "Russian People's Union"), Pavel Grudinin (KPRF), Vladimir Zhirinovsky (LDPR), Ksenia Sobchak ("Civil Initiative"), Maxim Suraikin ("Communists of Russia"), Boris Titov (Party of Growth) and Grigory Yavlinsky ("Apple"). The current head of state, Vladimir Putin, is participating in the elections as a self-nominated candidate.

The Far East voted actively, at many polling stations there were huge queues at the ballot boxes. The last to vote were residents of the Kaliningrad region, the westernmost region of the country. It is also worth noting that for the first time residents of Crimea and Sevastopol took part in the voting in the presidential elections.

The head of the Russian state was also elected abroad. So, in Washington, the opening was personally attended by Russian Ambassador Anatoly Antonov. The Commission received 13,510 ballots. In total, more than 360 polling stations were organized abroad, up to 1.8 million Russians could use this right.

In general, the activity of citizens in these elections was higher than six years ago. So, as of 18:00 Moscow time, the turnout already exceeded 50% and amounted to 52.97%. And an hour later, the Central Election Commission published new data - the turnout reached almost 60%.

According to international observers, the voting went smoothly, access to the polling stations was open to all citizens with the right to vote. Thus, a member of the Slovak Parliament, Marek Krajci, who observed the presidential elections in the Saratov region, said that the electoral procedure had become much more transparent. "I see that there is a very good and friendly atmosphere here. In my opinion, the election process is organized very openly and the elections are open to voters," he said.

You know what. Of course, we and our Western colleagues - politicians and journalists - have said a lot about each other in recent years. And of course, to be honest, sometimes you even regret that the publication in Bild is just incredible nonsense. But, for example, is it possible, being a healthy person, to assume that today's VTsIOM data on candidates for the post of president of our country - these data are provoked by the work of German bots?

And yet, here they are. This data. The only candidate is a self-nominated candidate. However. Among the remaining seven party candidates, the intrigue remains. Even two intrigues. The second is which of the five contenders - Suraikin, Titov, Baburin, Sobchak, Yavlinsky - who will eventually get one percent of the vote, and who will overcome this important percentage barrier? And the main one is who will get an honorable second place: the veteran of the pursuit race Vladimir Zhirinovsky or Zyuganov's rookie fellow traveler, billionaire Pavel Grudinin. So to speak, the fight between youth and experience.

LDPR candidate Vladimir Zhirinovsky today checked the work of the Pension Fund branch. Pensioner Zhirinovsky was interested in the mechanism for calculating pensions. He asked about the payments due to him and separately dwelled on the issue of indexation. As a presidential candidate, Zhirinovsky promised that if he was elected, working pensioners would receive all bonuses in full. The leader of the Liberal Democratic Party also spoke on the topic of raising the retirement age.

“We will be categorically against raising the retirement age, because we have difficult living conditions, weather, political conditions, housing. It so happened that after all, people are used to it: women retire at 55, men at 60, and there is even a pension at a younger age. And allowances to be every year: both working and non-working,” said Vladimir Zhirinovsky.

Sergei Baburin met with voters in Rostov-on-Don. The presidential candidate from the "Russian People's Union" visited the Museum of the Don Cossacks, opened in one of the city's schools, and the tour was conducted not only by teachers. Later, Baburin met with the Cossack activists, and also visited Rostselmash. According to the presidential candidate, the development of production should become a priority for the coming years.

“I believe that with all the successes of foreign policy, one should not forget about domestic policy. Not all of us have such enterprises as Rostselmash. Well, not all. We have many still barely surviving. And how much we have, excuse me, of that consumer goods, which comes from abroad of poor quality. Therefore, we are talking about the need to fundamentally reform the domestic socio-economic policy,” Sergei Baburin stressed.

Pavel Grudinin also visited the production today. The presidential candidate from the Communist Party inspected the workshops of an enterprise near Moscow that produces dozens of items of plumbing. The company has existed for almost 20 years, the client base, and with it the profit, is growing. Everything, as in the state farm named after Lenin, said businessman Grudinin. But even here, at a successful enterprise, there was talk of how the state could help a developing business.

“It is necessary to reduce the interest on loans so that the enterprise can develop. It is necessary to make the workers earn big money, and for this it is necessary to introduce a progressive income tax scale. And if a person earns little, then he does not have to pay anything at all, and if he earns a lot, then he must pay an increased tax. But the main thing that needs to be done is for people to be able to buy our goods, which are available to them,” said Pavel Grudinin.

Maxim Suraikin, a candidate from the Communists of Russia party, together with his comrades-in-arms, laid flowers at the monument to Lenin in Veliky Novgorod. He also visited one of the city's multifunctional centers. On the whole, the communist Suraikin was pleased with the work of the MFC, although there were some remarks.

“Active voters apply to be able to vote at the polling stations where they will be, but nevertheless, speaking in general, for example, we found that a service fee is paid here - 40 rubles for each state duty, in our opinion this is a fairly large amount, because if a person pays three, four, five state duties, this is already 150-200-300 rubles. And when a simple pensioner receives 9-10 thousand, this is a significant part of his income, it may be just a few days of money for food, ”said Maxim Suraikin.

Grigory Yavlinsky, a candidate from the Yabloko party, met today with military experts. It was about the state of the Armed Forces, the re-equipment of combat units and, in general, serious reforms of the Russian army.

“It is necessary to return to the topic of reducing the size of the Russian Armed Forces to 800,000 people. Second. The transition to a professional army and over the next two to three years, the rejection of conscription, the transition to a contract one. My calculations show the need and possibility of increasing the allowance, medical care, improving the quality of medical care,” said Grigory Yavlinsky.

Hero of Russia Vyacheslav Bocharov met with volunteers at the Moscow headquarters of Vladimir Putin. On the eve of February 23, young people wrote greeting cards to our military in Syria. A veteran of the Vympel special forces group joined the action. Volunteers asked Bocharov what is real patriotism.

“Patriotism is love for the Motherland. But you can’t call for an abstract love of the Motherland, you can’t force someone to love something. When you tell a young person about the heroes of our time, talk about specific examples - in faces, and they can either see this person or bow to his memory, because in our time he sacrificed himself so that they could fulfill their dreams, ” - said Hero of Russia Vyacheslav Bocharov.

This week, the results of polls about the intention of Russians to participate in the upcoming vote appeared.

According to VTsIOM, more than 80% of respondents are going to come to the polls for sure or most likely. A similar picture in the poll of the Public Opinion Foundation: more than 60% of respondents said that they would definitely come to the polls. And almost 22% of those polled will probably vote.

As for the pre-election layouts, the numbers here are generally similar. Vladimir Putin leads by a wide margin.

Sociologists pay attention to the maximum closeness of the positions of Pavel Grudinin and Vladimir Zhirinovsky. According to VTsIOM, a month before the elections, there were slightly more than 2% between them.

Almost 1.5% - for Grigory Yavlinsky. Ksenia Sobchak is gaining a little less than 1%. Sergey Baburin has 0.4%. Boris Titov is 0.1% behind him. The rating is closed by Maxim Suraikin.

At the same time, polls by the FOM show almost equal numbers among the candidates from the Communist Party of the Russian Federation and the Liberal Democratic Party, so it looks like the fight for second place will go on until the last day of the campaign.

It will be possible to cast your vote not only where it is registered, but also at the place of actual residence. The day before, a point for receiving applications for inclusion in the electoral lists was opened in Rosa Khutor. So that vacationers can vote without making adjustments to their vacation plans. After all, the ski season here ends only in May, which means that on March 18 there will be many potential voters on the snowy slopes.

On March 18, 2018, the citizens of Russia will come to the polls and give their votes to the most worthy of the contenders for the supreme power in the country. Although it is still more than two months until this moment, the preliminary results of the 2018 elections can be summed up now - judging by the ratings, V.V. will win an unconditional victory in them. Putin. The trust of the people in the incumbent president is so high that there is no doubt about it. However, a significant preponderance of one candidate over the rest of the list does not at all reduce interest in the presidential race. There are good reasons for this.

Campaign Features

The 2018 election is destined to go down in history for a number of reasons. This company will be the last for the long-term leader of the state V.V. Putin and his eternal opponent V.V. Zhirinovsky. For the first time, another political heavyweight, G.A., will not take part in it. Zyuganov, who soberly assessed his strength and chances of winning.

Never before have Russian voters seen such people who considered themselves worthy to climb the Olympus of power. More than 40 representatives of large and small parties, self-nominees, declared their readiness to join the presidential race. The most odious figures were eliminated at the preliminary stage. The CEC of the Russian Federation allowed eight to the decisive battle.

What is the rating of candidates now

*poll started at 13:10 03/18/2018 Moscow time

Since the campaign has been going on for more than a month, it makes sense to sum up the interim results of the Russian presidential elections in 2018. To do this, it is worth analyzing the results of polls of sociologists at the moment. In order to obtain an objective assessment of the chances of candidates, let's compare the data of FOM and VCIOM, which work with a significant number of respondents.

The overwhelming majority of Russians have no doubt that Putin will win the 2018 elections. According to polls, up to 70 (VTsIOM) percent of the country's citizens are ready to vote for him. The rest of the candidates were ranked as follows:

• V. Zhirinovsky - from 5.7 to 6%;
• P. Grudinin - from 5.3 to 7.5%;
• G. Yavlinsky - from 0.5 to 1.4%;
• K. Sobchak - up to 1%;
• B. Titov - up to 1%;
• S. Baburin - up to 1%;
• M. Suraikin - up to 1%.

The chances of S. Baburin and M. Suraikin to win the presidential elections in the Russian Federation were estimated at the level of statistical error.

Internet audience surveys give slightly different results. Thus, the “People's Rating” of the site basetop.ru calls Grudinin (59%) the favorite of the presidential race. Putin's candidacy was supported by 15% of the resource's visitors, Sobchak 7%, Zhirinovsky and Suraykin 6% each, Baburin, Yavlinsky and Titov 2% each. Nothing but skepticism, the results of such voting can not cause. The views of the audience of one Internet resource can be diametrically different from the views of visitors to another. In addition, cases of cheating and fraudulent voting on the Internet are not uncommon.

The dynamics of the popularity of applicants

It is very interesting to analyze how the attitude of voters towards the participants in the presidential race has changed in the month and a half that have passed since the beginning of this year. Comparing the data of the December opinion polls with the February ratings, it is not difficult to identify certain trends.

• The preliminary results of the 2018 elections as of the end of December would have witnessed the victory of the incumbent president with a score of 68 to 83.8%. Some decline in V. Putin's popularity is due to the ambivalent attitude of society towards the participation of Russian athletes in the Pyeongchang Olympics under a neutral flag. A possible increase in sanctions pressure on the country, provided for by the secret appendix to, also had a certain impact.
• V. Zhirinovsky remained in his former positions. The views of a constant participant in the presidential elections have long been known in society. The party has its own established electorate, always voting for the leader.
• The candidate from the Communist Party started the year with 7.6% support, but has already managed to lose about 0.7% of the votes of potential voters. This should not be surprising. The traditional communist electorate is experiencing cognitive dissonance because the interests of the proletariat at the highest level will be represented by a billionaire capitalist. The scandals around P. Grudinin's undeclared funds on the accounts of foreign banks do not contribute to the growth of popularity.
• K. Sobchak, who considers participation in the presidential election as self-promotion for the future, lost about 0.5% of her rating. This is quite logical, because the main thing in the company of the odious "liberal" is shocking. Hence the statements about the Crimea, Donbass, same-sex marriages, and other things that do not find support in society. In a negative light, Ksenia Anatolyevna is also represented by constant attempts to please the West.
• Resurrected from relative political non-existence, G. Yavlinsky is still unable to enlist the support of even a part of the electorate that Yabloko once possessed. In February, as in December, no more than 1% of voters would vote for him.
• Business Ombudsman B. Titov and the Party of Growth, from which he runs for election, represent the interests of a very small part of society. The number of his supporters practically did not increase.
• M. Suraikin and S. Baburin were outsiders in the presidential race in December. Over the past period, their position in the table of ranks has not changed.

We invite you to familiarize yourself with the current dynamics of the survey results below. For clarity, you can turn off unnecessary answers by clicking on them under the graph.

What will be the most likely outcome of the 2018 presidential election? What positions will the campaigners end up taking?

Final forecast: Putin and everyone else

The most interesting stage of the struggle for the Kremlin is about to begin. Candidates for victory in the 2018 elections in Russia will begin face-to-face and absentee debates, will advertise election programs in every possible way, and actively meet with the electorate. It is clear that the election of V. Putin to the post of head of state is a given. However, the intrigue regarding the distribution of places from 2 to 8 will remain for a long time. It remains to do the thankless task - forecasts.

V. Putin will definitely win the elections. A huge number of his supporters will come to the polling stations, who do not consider it necessary to fill out sociologists' questionnaires. The majority of citizens associate their hopes for a prosperous future with the name of Vladimir Vladimirovich. Many believe that the victorious president, who this time deliberately disregarded political parties and movements, will devote the next six years to fighting corruption, reforming legislation, and strengthening the economic and political power of the Russian Federation. From 60 to 80% of Russians will vote for him.

The main intrigue of these elections is whether Pavel Grudinin will be able to bypass Vladimir Zhirinovsky.

Vladimir Zhirinovsky can get 8-12% of the vote. The second Zhirinovsky will be a remarkable result of his, no doubt, a brilliant political career. After the next elections, most likely, the LDPR will be led by new leaders.

The Communist Party is in for hard times. Perhaps the nomination of P. Grudinin was a tactical mistake of the patriarch, who was almost ready to transfer the helm of control of the communist ship to other hands. The traditionally disciplined electorate will vote for the party candidate. Considering its reduction due to natural and introduced reasons, the support of 7-10% of voters will be a good outcome. However, Grudinin himself says that he expects to receive at least 15%.

For the rest of the applicants, achieving a rating of 2% will be a huge success. Mrs. Sobchak will have to make sure that the presidential election is not a TV show, but G. Yavlinsky in a deep crisis of Russian liberalism. B Titov and Co. are terribly far from the people, S. Baburin and M. Suraykin simply do not have the necessary political weight, serious electoral support.

It will be possible to verify the correctness of the predictions made very soon. Perhaps one of the candidates will make an impressive breakthrough and refute the assumptions of analysts. Well, the more interesting it will be to observe the ups and downs of the political struggle.